Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.003492 0.003667 0.003846 0.004043 0.004255 0.004474 0.004720
2025-04-27 0.003231 0.003497 0.003780 0.004106 0.004471 0.004869 0.005337
2025-05-04 0.003006 0.003317 0.003659 0.004063 0.004530 0.005057 0.005699
2025-05-11 0.002842 0.003186 0.003570 0.004036 0.004589 0.005230 0.006035
2025-05-18 0.002705 0.003072 0.003490 0.004006 0.004632 0.005375 0.006335
2025-05-25 0.002641 0.003036 0.003495 0.004071 0.004786 0.005654 0.006806
2025-06-01 0.002545 0.002956 0.003440 0.004058 0.004838 0.005805 0.007119
2025-06-08 0.002450 0.002871 0.003373 0.004024 0.004860 0.005914 0.007378
2025-06-15 0.002348 0.002773 0.003285 0.003958 0.004834 0.005957 0.007547
2025-06-22 0.002259 0.002688 0.003210 0.003903 0.004817 0.006009 0.007726
2025-06-29 0.002204 0.002642 0.003181 0.003905 0.004874 0.006158 0.008045
2025-07-06 0.002100 0.002531 0.003064 0.003788 0.004766 0.006077 0.008031
2025-07-13 0.002055 0.002494 0.003043 0.003796 0.004828 0.006234 0.008370
2025-07-20 0.002034 0.002486 0.003059 0.003854 0.004960 0.006492 0.008873
2025-07-27 0.001974 0.002427 0.003004 0.003814 0.004954 0.006554 0.009082
2025-08-03 0.001924 0.002379 0.002963 0.003790 0.004967 0.006642 0.009334
2025-08-10 0.001876 0.002331 0.002920 0.003762 0.004973 0.006720 0.009572
2025-08-17 0.001863 0.002330 0.002941 0.003822 0.005107 0.006992 0.010135
2025-08-24 0.001825 0.002293 0.002911 0.003810 0.005135 0.007103 0.010440
2025-08-31 0.001782 0.002249 0.002869 0.003779 0.005133 0.007167 0.010671
2025-09-07 0.001730 0.002192 0.002808 0.003718 0.005083 0.007155 0.010769
2025-09-14 0.001684 0.002142 0.002755 0.003668 0.005047 0.007161 0.010899
2025-09-21 0.001658 0.002118 0.002739 0.003670 0.005091 0.007296 0.011259